FAW Championship · Friday, 23 Oct 2026
Newport City
Home
4-4
Full time
Venue TBC
Pontypridd Town
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.95 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Newport City wins
0
Draws
0
Pontypridd Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
33%
53%
Attack
66%
33%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
52%
Win probability
25%
Home and away record
Newport City
last 4 at home
0W
0D
4L
0.00
points a game
0.25
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Pontypridd Town
last 4 away from home
2W
2D
0L
2.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Newport City | Pontypridd Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 78% 7/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 56% 5/9 | Both teams scored | 8/9 89% |
| 11% 1/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/9 0% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
Newport City
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
22%
Behind
56%
Pontypridd Town
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Pontypridd Town |
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 24 |
| 13 |
Newport City |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Newport City face Pontypridd Town in FAW Championship. Newport City have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 10 (0.8 points per game). Pontypridd Town have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 10 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 52% probability backing Newport City, home advantage and superior chance creation make Newport City to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 52% win probability for Newport City, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for Pontypridd Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Newport City Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 23 Oct 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FAW Championship.
