Premier Division · Friday, 23 Oct 2026
Derry City
Home
2-1
Full time
Brandywell Stadium
Dundalk
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.44 - 1.51
Win probability
Home
31%
Draw
23%
Away
46%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Draw/Away
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
71%
1.32
Goals & trends
61%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
71%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Derry City wins
0
Draws
0
Dundalk wins
06 Sep 2026
Derry City
4 - 2
Dundalk
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
13%
40%
Attack
33%
73%
Defence
26%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
31%
Win probability
46%
Home and away record
Derry City
last 8 at home
5W
1D
2L
2.00
points a game
1.88
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Dundalk
last 8 away from home
2W
3D
3L
1.13
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.88
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Derry City | Dundalk | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Derry City
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
40%
Behind
10%
Dundalk
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
30%
Behind
60%
Match Preview & Analysis
Derry City face Dundalk in Premier Division. Derry City have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Dundalk have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 11 (0.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Derry City won 1, Dundalk won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 61% and Both Teams to Score at 59%.
Dundalk's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 46% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Dundalk to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 31% win probability for Derry City, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 46% probability for Dundalk. Our top recommended betting pick is Dundalk Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 59% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 23 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Brandywell Stadium as part of the Premier Division.
