FAW Championship · Friday, 23 Oct 2026
Caerau (Ely)
Home
0-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Llantwit Major
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.79 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
87%
Draw
6%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.36
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Caerau (Ely) wins
0
Draws
0
Llantwit Major wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
33%
95%
Attack
40%
86%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
87%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Caerau (Ely)
last 8 at home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
3.13
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Llantwit Major
last 6 away from home
1W
1D
4L
0.67
points a game
1.00
scored a game
3.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Caerau (Ely) | Llantwit Major | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/9 67% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/9 0% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 3/9 33% |
At half time
Caerau (Ely)
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Llantwit Major
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
33%
Behind
67%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Caerau (Ely) |
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 15 |
Llantwit Major |
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Caerau (Ely) face Llantwit Major in FAW Championship. Caerau (Ely) have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 2 (3 points per game). Llantwit Major have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 11 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 87% probability backing Caerau (Ely), home advantage and superior chance creation make Caerau (Ely) to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 87% win probability for Caerau (Ely), a 6% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Llantwit Major. Our top recommended betting pick is Caerau (Ely) Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.36 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 23 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FAW Championship.
