Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
La Liga · Friday, 23 Oct 2026
Alaves
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Malaga CF
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.33 - 0.72
Win probability
Home
68%
Draw
22%
Away
10%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alaves wins
0
Draws
0
Malaga CF wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
5%
20%
Attack
33%
53%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
68%
Win probability
10%
Home and away record
Alaves
last 7 at home
4W
1D
2L
1.86
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.86
conceded a game
Malaga CF
last 0 away from home
No away from home games on record yet.
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Alaves | Malaga CF | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 1/1 100% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/1 0% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 0/1 0% |
At half time
Alaves
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
70%
Behind
0%
Malaga CF
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
0%
Behind
100%
Match Preview & Analysis
Alaves face Malaga CF in La Liga. Alaves have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.2 points per game). Malaga CF have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 games, scoring 1 and conceding 3 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 40%.
With a 68% probability backing Alaves, home advantage and superior chance creation make Alaves to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 68% win probability for Alaves, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 10% probability for Malaga CF. Our top recommended betting pick is Alaves Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 40%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 23 Oct 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio de Mendizorroza as part of the La Liga.
