Liga 3 · Friday, 23 Oct 2026
Pacos Ferreira
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Leça
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.13 - 1.82
Win probability
Home
18%
Draw
22%
Away
60%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
56%
1.68
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Pacos Ferreira v Leça pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Pacos Ferreira wins
0
Draws
0
Leça wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
80%
33%
Attack
60%
46%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
18%
Win probability
60%
Home and away record
Pacos Ferreira
last 6 at home
0W
2D
4L
0.33
points a game
0.33
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Leça
last 7 away from home
4W
1D
2L
1.86
points a game
1.29
scored a game
1.14
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Pacos Ferreira | Leça | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% 5/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 44% 4/9 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Pacos Ferreira
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
38%
Behind
50%
Leça
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
56%
Level
22%
Behind
22%
Match Preview & Analysis
Pacos Ferreira face Leça in Liga 3. Pacos Ferreira have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1 points per game). Leça have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Leça's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 60% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Leça to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 18% win probability for Pacos Ferreira, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 60% probability for Leça. Our top recommended betting pick is Leça Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 23 Oct 2026 at 19:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga 3.
