Liga Profesional Argentina · Friday, 23 Oct 2026
Gimnasia L.P.
Home
2-0
Full time
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Sarmiento Junin
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
30%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
37%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.83
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Gimnasia L.P. wins
0
Draws
0
Sarmiento Junin wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
40%
46%
Attack
46%
60%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Gimnasia L.P.
last 6 at home
3W
2D
1L
1.83
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Sarmiento Junin
last 6 away from home
3W
0D
3L
1.50
points a game
1.83
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Gimnasia L.P. | Sarmiento Junin | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Gimnasia L.P.
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Sarmiento Junin
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
30%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Gimnasia L.P. |
32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | +5 | 57 |
| 19 |
Sarmiento Junin |
32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | -8 | 40 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Gimnasia L.P. face Sarmiento Junin in Liga Profesional Argentina. Gimnasia L.P. have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game). Sarmiento Junin have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 37% and Both Teams to Score at 41%.
With a 48% probability backing Gimnasia L.P., home advantage and superior chance creation make Gimnasia L.P. to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Gimnasia L.P., a 30% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Sarmiento Junin. Our top recommended betting pick is Gimnasia L.P. Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.83 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 41%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 23 Oct 2026 at 21:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo as part of the Liga Profesional Argentina.
