Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Liga Nacional · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Olancho
Home
3-3
Full time
Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas
Estrella Roja
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
27%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.89
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Olancho wins
0
Draws
0
Estrella Roja wins
03 Aug 2026
Estrella Roja
0 - 1
Olancho
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
26%
20%
Attack
26%
73%
Defence
26%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
46%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
Olancho
last 4 at home
1W
3D
0L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Estrella Roja
last 5 away from home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
1.20
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Olancho | Estrella Roja | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Olancho
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
60%
Behind
10%
Estrella Roja
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Olancho |
12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |
Estrella Roja |
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Olancho face Estrella Roja in Liga Nacional. Olancho have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4 (0.8 points per game). Estrella Roja have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Olancho won 1, Estrella Roja won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 46% probability backing Olancho, home advantage and superior chance creation make Olancho to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for Olancho, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Estrella Roja. Our top recommended betting pick is Olancho Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.89 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas as part of the Liga Nacional.
