III Liga - Group 4 · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Czarni Połaniec
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Busko-Zdroj
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.24 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
64%
Draw
17%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.16
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Czarni Połaniec wins
0
Draws
0
Busko-Zdroj wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
40%
33%
Attack
53%
46%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
64%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Czarni Połaniec
last 8 at home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Busko-Zdroj
last 6 away from home
1W
1D
4L
0.67
points a game
1.17
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Czarni Połaniec | Busko-Zdroj | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Czarni Połaniec
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Busko-Zdroj
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Czarni Połaniec |
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 28 |
| 13 |
Busko-Zdroj |
16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -14 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Czarni Połaniec face Busko-Zdroj in III Liga - Group 4. Czarni Połaniec have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1 points per game). Busko-Zdroj have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 12 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 63%.
With a 64% probability backing Czarni Połaniec, home advantage and superior chance creation make Czarni Połaniec to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 64% win probability for Czarni Połaniec, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Busko-Zdroj. Our top recommended betting pick is Czarni Połaniec Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.16 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 63% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 09:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the III Liga - Group 4.
