Virsliga · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
FK Liepaja
Home
0-0
Full time
Daugava Stadium
Tukums
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.36 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
69%
Draw
17%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
FK Liepaja wins
0
Draws
1
Tukums wins
02 Aug 2026
Tukums
2 - 1
FK Liepaja
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
26%
46%
Attack
20%
66%
Defence
53%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
69%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
FK Liepaja
last 8 at home
5W
1D
2L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Tukums
last 8 away from home
0W
0D
8L
0.00
points a game
0.63
scored a game
2.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| FK Liepaja | Tukums | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 6/10 60% |
At half time
FK Liepaja
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Tukums
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
FK Liepaja face Tukums in Virsliga. FK Liepaja have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game). Tukums have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, FK Liepaja won 0, Tukums won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 69% probability backing FK Liepaja, home advantage and superior chance creation make FK Liepaja to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 69% win probability for FK Liepaja, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Tukums. Our top recommended betting pick is FK Liepaja Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at Daugava Stadium as part of the Virsliga.
