Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Unión Sur Yaiza
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Laguna de Duero
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.38 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
70%
Draw
17%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
61%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Unión Sur Yaiza wins
0
Draws
0
Laguna de Duero wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
6%
40%
Attack
33%
53%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
70%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
Unión Sur Yaiza
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Laguna de Duero
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
0.33
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Unión Sur Yaiza | Laguna de Duero | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 3/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/6 0% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 3/6 50% |
At half time
Unión Sur Yaiza
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
33%
Behind
67%
Laguna de Duero
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
60%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Unión Sur Yaiza |
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |
Laguna de Duero |
9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Unión Sur Yaiza face Laguna de Duero in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12. Unión Sur Yaiza have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game). Laguna de Duero have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 11 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 61% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 70% probability backing Unión Sur Yaiza, home advantage and superior chance creation make Unión Sur Yaiza to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 70% win probability for Unión Sur Yaiza, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Laguna de Duero. Our top recommended betting pick is Unión Sur Yaiza Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
