III Liga - Group 4 · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Chełmianka Chełm
Home
2-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Korona Kielce II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.76 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
86%
Draw
8%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chełmianka Chełm wins
0
Draws
0
Korona Kielce II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
46%
33%
Attack
60%
73%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
86%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Chełmianka Chełm
last 6 at home
5W
1D
0L
2.67
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Korona Kielce II
last 7 away from home
1W
0D
6L
0.43
points a game
1.57
scored a game
3.57
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Chełmianka Chełm | Korona Kielce II | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Chełmianka Chełm
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
40%
Behind
0%
Korona Kielce II
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Chełmianka Chełm |
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 40 |
| 15 |
Korona Kielce II |
16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chełmianka Chełm face Korona Kielce II in III Liga - Group 4. Chełmianka Chełm have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game). Korona Kielce II have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 86% probability backing Chełmianka Chełm, home advantage and superior chance creation make Chełmianka Chełm to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 86% win probability for Chełmianka Chełm, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Korona Kielce II. Our top recommended betting pick is Chełmianka Chełm Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the III Liga - Group 4.
