III Liga - Group 4 · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Moravia Morawica
Home
2-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.35 - 1.56
Win probability
Home
27%
Draw
24%
Away
48%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Draw/Away
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
2.91
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Moravia Morawica wins
0
Draws
0
Siarka Tarnobrzeg wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
46%
26%
Attack
60%
53%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
27%
Win probability
48%
Home and away record
Moravia Morawica
last 7 at home
1W
2D
4L
0.71
points a game
0.86
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
last 7 away from home
2W
3D
2L
1.29
points a game
1.29
scored a game
1.29
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Moravia Morawica | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Moravia Morawica
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Siarka Tarnobrzeg |
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 17 |
Moravia Morawica |
16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -10 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Moravia Morawica face Siarka Tarnobrzeg in III Liga - Group 4. Moravia Morawica have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (0.4 points per game). Siarka Tarnobrzeg have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Siarka Tarnobrzeg's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 48% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Siarka Tarnobrzeg to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 27% win probability for Moravia Morawica, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 48% probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg. Our top recommended betting pick is Siarka Tarnobrzeg Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.91 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the III Liga - Group 4.
