Thai League 1 · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
BG Pathum United
Home
2-0
Full time
True BG Stadium
Chiangrai United
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
28%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
60%
1.57
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
35%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.88
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
BG Pathum United wins
0
Draws
0
Chiangrai United wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
13%
Recent form
13%
33%
Attack
26%
46%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
BG Pathum United
last 4 at home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Chiangrai United
last 3 away from home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| BG Pathum United | Chiangrai United | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/6 0% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 4/6 67% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 1/6 17% |
At half time
BG Pathum United
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
44%
Behind
44%
Chiangrai United
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
33%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
BG Pathum United face Chiangrai United in Thai League 1. BG Pathum United have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (0.4 points per game). Chiangrai United have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 35% and Both Teams to Score at 40%.
With a 48% probability backing BG Pathum United, home advantage and superior chance creation make BG Pathum United to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for BG Pathum United, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Chiangrai United. Our top recommended betting pick is BG Pathum United Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.88 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 40%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at True BG Stadium as part of the Thai League 1.
