Third League - Southeast · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Spartak Plovdiv
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Neftochimic Burgas
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.36 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
69%
Draw
16%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Spartak Plovdiv wins
0
Draws
0
Neftochimic Burgas wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
66%
53%
Attack
60%
53%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
69%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Spartak Plovdiv
last 7 at home
5W
0D
2L
2.14
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.43
conceded a game
Neftochimic Burgas
last 4 away from home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
2.25
scored a game
2.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Spartak Plovdiv | Neftochimic Burgas | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Spartak Plovdiv
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
Neftochimic Burgas
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Spartak Plovdiv |
13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | +17 | 33 |
| 4 |
Neftochimic Burgas |
13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +11 | 26 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Spartak Plovdiv face Neftochimic Burgas in Third League - Southeast. Spartak Plovdiv have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game). Neftochimic Burgas have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 61%.
With a 69% probability backing Spartak Plovdiv, home advantage and superior chance creation make Spartak Plovdiv to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 69% win probability for Spartak Plovdiv, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Neftochimic Burgas. Our top recommended betting pick is Spartak Plovdiv Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.19 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 61% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Third League - Southeast.
