Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
FKF Premier League · Friday, 20 Nov 2026
Nairobi United
Home
13:15
d ::
Venue TBC
Tusker
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.37 - 1.58
Win probability
Home
28%
Draw
23%
Away
49%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Draw/Away
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
58%
1.62
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
70%
1.34
Goals & trends
59%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Nairobi United wins
0
Draws
0
Tusker wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
26%
33%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
28%
Win probability
49%
Home and away record
Nairobi United
last 3 at home
0W
3D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Tusker
last 5 away from home
1W
2D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.20
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Nairobi United | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 83% 5/6 | Both teams scored | 4/9 44% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Nairobi United
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Tusker
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
56%
Behind
11%
Match Preview & Analysis
Nairobi United face Tusker in FKF Premier League. Nairobi United have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (0.8 points per game). Tusker have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 59% and Both Teams to Score at 58%.
Tusker's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 49% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Tusker to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 28% win probability for Nairobi United, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 49% probability for Tusker. Our top recommended betting pick is Tusker Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 58% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 20 Nov 2026 at 13:15 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FKF Premier League.
