Premyer Liqa · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Safa Baku
Home
1-2
Full time
ASK Arena
Kapaz
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.87 - 2.13
Win probability
Home
7%
Draw
19%
Away
74%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
63%
1.49
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Safa Baku wins
0
Draws
0
Kapaz wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
53%
20%
Attack
40%
20%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
7%
Win probability
74%
Home and away record
Safa Baku
last 3 at home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Kapaz
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Safa Baku | Kapaz | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 4/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 25% 2/8 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/7 57% |
| 63% 5/8 | Failed to score | 0/7 0% |
At half time
Safa Baku
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
38%
Behind
50%
Kapaz
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
57%
Behind
29%
Match Preview & Analysis
Safa Baku face Kapaz in Premyer Liqa. Safa Baku have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 12 (0 points per game). Kapaz have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
Kapaz's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 74% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Kapaz to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 7% win probability for Safa Baku, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 74% probability for Kapaz. Our top recommended betting pick is Kapaz Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at ASK Arena as part of the Premyer Liqa.
