USL Championship · Wednesday, 15 Jul 2026
Lexington
Home
1-4
Full time
Toyota Stadium
New Mexico United
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Away
60%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lexington wins
0
Draws
0
New Mexico United wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
95%
95%
Attack
55%
16%
Defence
89%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New New Mexico United | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | +9 | 34 |
| 7 | Lex Lexington | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | +7 | 31 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Lexington face New Mexico United in USL Championship. Lexington have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.5 points per game). New Mexico United have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 1 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Lexington, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for New Mexico United. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 15 Jul 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
