Ligi kuu Bara · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Simba
Home
13:00
d ::
Isamuhyo Stadium
Mbeya City
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.91 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
92%
Draw
5%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
73%
1.29
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.43
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Simba v Mbeya City pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Simba wins
0
Draws
0
Mbeya City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
26%
95%
Attack
26%
80%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
92%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Simba
last 8 at home
8W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.75
scored a game
0.38
conceded a game
Mbeya City
last 8 away from home
3W
3D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Simba | Mbeya City | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Simba
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
44%
Behind
11%
Mbeya City
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Simba face Mbeya City in Ligi kuu Bara. Simba have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 18 and conceding 3 (3 points per game). Mbeya City have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
With a 92% probability backing Simba, home advantage and superior chance creation make Simba to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 92% win probability for Simba, a 5% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Mbeya City. Our top recommended betting pick is Simba Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.43 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Isamuhyo Stadium as part of the Ligi kuu Bara.
