Third League - Southwest · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Botev Ihtiman
Home
2-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Septemvri Simitli
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.16 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
61%
Draw
20%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60%
1.57
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
71%
1.32
Goals & trends
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
71%
Over 1.5
3.08
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Botev Ihtiman wins
0
Draws
0
Septemvri Simitli wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
33%
46%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
61%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Botev Ihtiman
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Septemvri Simitli
last 6 away from home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.83
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Botev Ihtiman | Septemvri Simitli | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Botev Ihtiman
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
25%
Behind
38%
Septemvri Simitli
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
44%
Behind
44%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Septemvri Simitli |
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 |
Botev Ihtiman |
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -3 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Botev Ihtiman face Septemvri Simitli in Third League - Southwest. Botev Ihtiman have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game). Septemvri Simitli have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 60% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 61% probability backing Botev Ihtiman, home advantage and superior chance creation make Botev Ihtiman to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 61% win probability for Botev Ihtiman, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Septemvri Simitli. Our top recommended betting pick is Botev Ihtiman Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.08 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Third League - Southwest.
