Third League - Southwest · Thursday, 22 Oct 2026
Kostinbrod
Home
5-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Pirin Razlog
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.84 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
89%
Draw
8%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
71%
1.32
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
58%
1.62
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
73%
1.29
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS
73%
Over 1.5
3.41
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Kostinbrod wins
0
Draws
0
Pirin Razlog wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
40%
66%
Attack
33%
73%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
89%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Kostinbrod
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Pirin Razlog
last 4 away from home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
0.75
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Kostinbrod | Pirin Razlog | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Kostinbrod
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
25%
Behind
38%
Pirin Razlog
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
33%
Behind
44%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Kostinbrod |
15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | +4 | 22 |
| 17 |
Pirin Razlog |
16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -25 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Kostinbrod face Pirin Razlog in Third League - Southwest. Kostinbrod have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game). Pirin Razlog have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 42%.
With a 89% probability backing Kostinbrod, home advantage and superior chance creation make Kostinbrod to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 89% win probability for Kostinbrod, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Pirin Razlog. Our top recommended betting pick is Kostinbrod Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.41 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 42%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 22 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Third League - Southwest.
