Derde Divisie · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Sparta Nijkerk
Home
2-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Hoogeveen
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
14%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
76%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.13
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sparta Nijkerk wins
0
Draws
0
Hoogeveen wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
20%
60%
Attack
53%
60%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
Sparta Nijkerk
last 6 at home
2W
2D
2L
1.33
points a game
2.33
scored a game
2.17
conceded a game
Hoogeveen
last 5 away from home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
1.80
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sparta Nijkerk | Hoogeveen | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Sparta Nijkerk
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
50%
Behind
25%
Hoogeveen
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
63%
Level
0%
Behind
38%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Sparta Nijkerk |
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 12 |
Hoogeveen |
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sparta Nijkerk face Hoogeveen in Derde Divisie. Sparta Nijkerk have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Hoogeveen have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 13 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 76% and Both Teams to Score at 73%.
With a 56% probability backing Sparta Nijkerk, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sparta Nijkerk to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Sparta Nijkerk, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Hoogeveen. Our top recommended betting pick is Sparta Nijkerk Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.13 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 73% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Derde Divisie.
