Bundesliga · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
FSV Mainz 05
Home
2-3
Full time
MEWA Arena
Werder Bremen
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.09 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
58%
Draw
23%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
66%
1.42
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
66%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
FSV Mainz 05 wins
0
Draws
0
Werder Bremen wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
60%
80%
Attack
73%
33%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
58%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
FSV Mainz 05
last 8 at home
5W
1D
2L
2.00
points a game
2.25
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Werder Bremen
last 6 away from home
3W
2D
1L
1.83
points a game
2.83
scored a game
1.83
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| FSV Mainz 05 | Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
FSV Mainz 05
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
30%
Behind
10%
Werder Bremen
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
22%
Behind
44%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Werder Bremen |
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 12 |
FSV Mainz 05 |
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
FSV Mainz 05 face Werder Bremen in Bundesliga. FSV Mainz 05 have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 10 (1.8 points per game). Werder Bremen have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 58% probability backing FSV Mainz 05, home advantage and superior chance creation make FSV Mainz 05 to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 58% win probability for FSV Mainz 05, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Werder Bremen. Our top recommended betting pick is FSV Mainz 05 Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at MEWA Arena as part of the Bundesliga.
