Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Mercadal
Home
1-5
Full time
Venue TBC
Porreres
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.52 - 1.29
Win probability
Home
34%
Draw
30%
Away
36%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Draw/Away
67%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
39%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.81
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mercadal wins
0
Draws
0
Porreres wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
20%
40%
Attack
20%
53%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
34%
Win probability
36%
Home and away record
Mercadal
last 3 at home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Porreres
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
0.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Mercadal | Porreres | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 3/6 50% |
At half time
Mercadal
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Porreres
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Mercadal face Porreres in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11. Mercadal have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game). Porreres have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 39% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (34% vs 36%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 34% win probability for Mercadal, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 36% probability for Porreres. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.81 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 13:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
