Championship · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Morton
Home
14:00
d ::
Cappielow Park
Ayr Utd
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.44 - 1.36
Win probability
Home
31%
Draw
30%
Away
39%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Draw/Away
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
39%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.8
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Morton wins
1
Draws
0
Ayr Utd wins
29 Aug 2026
Ayr Utd
1 - 1
Morton
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
46%
40%
Attack
40%
46%
Defence
60%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
31%
Win probability
39%
Home and away record
Morton
last 8 at home
1W
0D
7L
0.38
points a game
0.63
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Ayr Utd
last 8 away from home
4W
1D
3L
1.63
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Morton | Ayr Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Morton
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Ayr Utd
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Morton face Ayr Utd in Championship. Morton have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game). Ayr Utd have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Morton won 0, Ayr Utd won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 39% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (31% vs 39%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 31% win probability for Morton, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 39% probability for Ayr Utd. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.8 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Cappielow Park as part of the Championship.
