National League - North · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Merthyr Town
Home
1-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Morecambe
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.61 - 1.23
Win probability
Home
38%
Draw
29%
Away
33%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.57
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
40%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.84
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Merthyr Town v Morecambe pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Merthyr Town wins
0
Draws
0
Morecambe wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
60%
20%
Attack
66%
66%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
38%
Win probability
33%
Home and away record
Merthyr Town
last 8 at home
4W
4D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.88
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Morecambe
last 7 away from home
2W
0D
5L
0.86
points a game
1.14
scored a game
1.29
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Merthyr Town | Morecambe | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Merthyr Town
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Morecambe
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Morecambe |
14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +9 | 23 |
| 19 |
Merthyr Town |
15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Merthyr Town face Morecambe in National League - North. Merthyr Town have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 5 (0.8 points per game). Morecambe have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 40% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (38% vs 33%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 38% win probability for Merthyr Town, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 33% probability for Morecambe. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.84 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the National League - North.
