Liga 3 · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Caldas
Home
3-3
Full time
Campo da Mata
Mafra
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.93
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
15%
Away
65%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
58%
1.62
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Caldas wins
0
Draws
0
Mafra wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
53%
46%
Attack
60%
26%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
19%
Win probability
65%
Home and away record
Caldas
last 5 at home
1W
2D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.40
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Mafra
last 7 away from home
2W
1D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.43
scored a game
1.57
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Caldas | Mafra | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% 5/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Caldas
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
38%
Behind
50%
Mafra
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
60%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Caldas face Mafra in Liga 3. Caldas have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 11 (1.2 points per game). Mafra have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 69%.
Mafra's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 65% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Mafra to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for Caldas, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 65% probability for Mafra. Our top recommended betting pick is Mafra Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 69% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Campo da Mata as part of the Liga 3.
