Kansallinen Liiga · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
HJK W
Home
3-3
Full time
Bolt Arena
Ilves W
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.84 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
89%
Draw
5%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
71%
1.32
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72%
1.31
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
72%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
2
HJK W wins
0
Draws
0
Ilves W wins
12 Sep 2026
Ilves W
2 - 5
HJK W
27 Jun 2026
Ilves W
1 - 3
HJK W
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
6%
53%
Attack
46%
13%
Defence
5%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
89%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
HJK W
last 7 at home
4W
0D
3L
1.71
points a game
2.29
scored a game
1.14
conceded a game
Ilves W
last 5 away from home
2W
0D
3L
1.20
points a game
1.40
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| HJK W | Ilves W | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
HJK W
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Ilves W
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
HJK W face Ilves W in Kansallinen Liiga. HJK W have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 13 (0.6 points per game). Ilves W have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 16 (0.2 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, HJK W won 2, Ilves W won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 72% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 89% probability backing HJK W, home advantage and superior chance creation make HJK W to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 89% win probability for HJK W, a 5% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Ilves W. Our top recommended betting pick is HJK W Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Bolt Arena as part of the Kansallinen Liiga.
