Kansallinen Liiga · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
HPS W
Home
4-0
Full time
Oulunkylan tekojaarata
IF Gnistan
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.69 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
83%
Draw
12%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
68%
1.38
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
HPS W wins
0
Draws
0
IF Gnistan wins
12 Sep 2026
IF Gnistan
1 - 3
HPS W
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
5%
73%
Attack
20%
80%
Defence
5%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
83%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
HPS W
last 5 at home
2W
2D
1L
1.60
points a game
1.80
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
IF Gnistan
last 6 away from home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
1.17
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| HPS W | IF Gnistan | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
HPS W
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
IF Gnistan
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
Match Preview & Analysis
HPS W face IF Gnistan in Kansallinen Liiga. HPS W have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game). IF Gnistan have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 19 (0 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, HPS W won 1, IF Gnistan won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 83% probability backing HPS W, home advantage and superior chance creation make HPS W to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 83% win probability for HPS W, a 12% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for IF Gnistan. Our top recommended betting pick is HPS W Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Oulunkylan tekojaarata as part of the Kansallinen Liiga.
