Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Atlético Astorga
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Gernika
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.47 - 1.49
Win probability
Home
32%
Draw
23%
Away
45%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Draw/Away
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
70%
1.34
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atlético Astorga wins
0
Draws
0
Gernika wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
46%
66%
Attack
73%
46%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
32%
Win probability
45%
Home and away record
Atlético Astorga
last 8 at home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Gernika
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Atlético Astorga | Gernika | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 4/6 67% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Atlético Astorga
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
Gernika
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Gernika |
9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 16 |
Atlético Astorga |
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 7 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Atlético Astorga face Gernika in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1. Atlético Astorga have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game). Gernika have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Gernika's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 45% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Gernika to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 32% win probability for Atlético Astorga, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 45% probability for Gernika. Our top recommended betting pick is Gernika Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 14:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
