Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
San Miguel
Home
5-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Villaverde Norte
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.16 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
61%
Draw
26%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
61%
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
38%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
San Miguel wins
0
Draws
0
Villaverde Norte wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
13%
53%
Attack
26%
53%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
61%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
San Miguel
last 8 at home
3W
1D
4L
1.25
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Villaverde Norte
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
3.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| San Miguel | Villaverde Norte | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 5/6 83% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/6 0% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/6 17% |
At half time
San Miguel
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
Villaverde Norte
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
San Miguel |
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 19 |
| 18 |
Villaverde Norte |
9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -19 | 2 |
Match Preview & Analysis
San Miguel face Villaverde Norte in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12. San Miguel have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game). Villaverde Norte have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 38% and Both Teams to Score at 39%.
With a 61% probability backing San Miguel, home advantage and superior chance creation make San Miguel to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 61% win probability for San Miguel, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Villaverde Norte. Our top recommended betting pick is San Miguel Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 39%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 14:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
