First League · Thursday, 22 Oct 2026
Mornar
Home
4-1
Full time
Stadion Topolica
Mladost DG
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.36
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.74 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
85%
Draw
8%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
69%
1.36
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
76%
1.24
Goals & trends
71%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
76%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
2
Mornar wins
0
Draws
0
Mladost DG wins
02 Oct 2026
Mladost DG
1 - 5
Mornar
16 Aug 2026
Mladost DG
2 - 3
Mornar
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
33%
93%
Attack
46%
60%
Defence
33%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
85%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Mornar
last 6 at home
2W
2D
2L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Mladost DG
last 6 away from home
1W
1D
4L
0.67
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Mornar | Mladost DG | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Mornar
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
10%
Behind
30%
Mladost DG
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Mornar face Mladost DG in First League. Mornar have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 6 (2.2 points per game). Mladost DG have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (1 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Mornar won 2, Mladost DG won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 71% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 85% probability backing Mornar, home advantage and superior chance creation make Mornar to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 85% win probability for Mornar, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Mladost DG. Our top recommended betting pick is Mornar Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 22 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Topolica as part of the First League.
