Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Numancia
Home
2-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Navalcarnero
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.19 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
62%
Draw
24%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
58%
1.62
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Numancia wins
0
Draws
0
Navalcarnero wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
60%
20%
Attack
66%
93%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
62%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
Numancia
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Navalcarnero
last 7 away from home
3W
3D
1L
1.71
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Numancia | Navalcarnero | |
|---|---|---|
| 57% 4/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 0% 0/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 29% 2/7 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 71% 5/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 43% 3/7 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Numancia
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
57%
Behind
0%
Navalcarnero
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Numancia face Navalcarnero in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5. Numancia have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 1 (1.4 points per game). Navalcarnero have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 42%.
With a 62% probability backing Numancia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Numancia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 62% win probability for Numancia, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Navalcarnero. Our top recommended betting pick is Numancia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 42%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
