Liga 3 · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Paredes
Home
4-0
Full time
Municipal das Laranjeiras
Trofense
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.84 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
89%
Draw
4%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
71%
1.32
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72%
1.31
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
72%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Paredes wins
0
Draws
0
Trofense wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
33%
80%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
89%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Paredes
last 6 at home
5W
0D
1L
2.50
points a game
2.67
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Trofense
last 5 away from home
0W
3D
2L
0.60
points a game
0.80
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Paredes | Trofense | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
Paredes
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
Trofense
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
38%
Behind
38%
Match Preview & Analysis
Paredes face Trofense in Liga 3. Paredes have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 5 (2.6 points per game). Trofense have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 11 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 72% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 89% probability backing Paredes, home advantage and superior chance creation make Paredes to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 89% win probability for Paredes, a 4% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Trofense. Our top recommended betting pick is Paredes Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Municipal das Laranjeiras as part of the Liga 3.
