Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
UD Santa Marta
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Almazán
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.14 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
60%
Draw
20%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
58%
1.62
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
62%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.08
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
UD Santa Marta wins
0
Draws
0
Almazán wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
40%
46%
Attack
53%
80%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
60%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
UD Santa Marta
last 6 at home
5W
0D
1L
2.50
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Almazán
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| UD Santa Marta | Almazán | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 5/6 83% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
UD Santa Marta
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Almazán
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
0%
Behind
60%
Match Preview & Analysis
UD Santa Marta face Almazán in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8. UD Santa Marta have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 3 (1.6 points per game). Almazán have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 62% and Both Teams to Score at 58%.
With a 60% probability backing UD Santa Marta, home advantage and superior chance creation make UD Santa Marta to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 60% win probability for UD Santa Marta, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Almazán. Our top recommended betting pick is UD Santa Marta Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.08 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 58% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
