Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Estepona
Home
2-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Ciudad de Lucena
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.4 - 1.51
Win probability
Home
29%
Draw
25%
Away
46%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Draw/Away
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
66%
1.42
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
66%
Over 1.5
2.91
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Estepona wins
0
Draws
0
Ciudad de Lucena wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
66%
60%
Attack
53%
53%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
29%
Win probability
46%
Home and away record
Estepona
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Ciudad de Lucena
last 3 away from home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Estepona | Ciudad de Lucena | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 4/6 67% |
| 50% 3/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Estepona
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
50%
Behind
17%
Ciudad de Lucena
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Ciudad de Lucena |
10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +7 | 19 |
| 11 |
Estepona |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Estepona face Ciudad de Lucena in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4. Estepona have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (2 points per game). Ciudad de Lucena have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Ciudad de Lucena's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 46% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Ciudad de Lucena to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 29% win probability for Estepona, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 46% probability for Ciudad de Lucena. Our top recommended betting pick is Ciudad de Lucena Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.91 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
