Primera Nacional · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Quilmes
Home
2-1
Full time
Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes
San Martin Tucuman
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
29%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
39%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.85
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Quilmes wins
0
Draws
0
San Martin Tucuman wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
60%
6%
Attack
60%
66%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
Quilmes
last 8 at home
4W
1D
3L
1.63
points a game
1.13
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
San Martin Tucuman
last 7 away from home
2W
1D
4L
1.00
points a game
0.86
scored a game
1.43
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Quilmes | San Martin Tucuman | |
|---|---|---|
| 30% 3/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 70% 7/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Quilmes
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
San Martin Tucuman
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
San Martin Tucuman |
35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
| 13 |
Quilmes |
35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | +2 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Quilmes face San Martin Tucuman in Primera Nacional. Quilmes have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 5 (0.8 points per game). San Martin Tucuman have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 39% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 44% probability backing Quilmes, home advantage and superior chance creation make Quilmes to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Quilmes, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for San Martin Tucuman. Our top recommended betting pick is Quilmes Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.85 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes as part of the Primera Nacional.
