La Liga · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Atletico Madrid
Home
1-0
Full time
Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Deportivo La Coruna
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.19 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
62%
Draw
20%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
70%
1.34
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atletico Madrid wins
0
Draws
0
Deportivo La Coruna wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
13%
53%
Attack
33%
80%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
62%
Win probability
18%
Home and away record
Atletico Madrid
last 5 at home
4W
1D
0L
2.60
points a game
2.40
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Deportivo La Coruna
last 8 away from home
2W
5D
1L
1.38
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Atletico Madrid | Deportivo La Coruna | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Atletico Madrid
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
60%
Behind
10%
Deportivo La Coruna
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Atletico Madrid |
12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +13 | 28 |
| 9 |
Deportivo La Coruna |
12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Atletico Madrid face Deportivo La Coruna in La Liga. Atletico Madrid have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game). Deportivo La Coruna have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 62% probability backing Atletico Madrid, home advantage and superior chance creation make Atletico Madrid to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 62% win probability for Atletico Madrid, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Deportivo La Coruna. Our top recommended betting pick is Atletico Madrid Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Riyadh Air Metropolitano as part of the La Liga.
