Serie A · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Vitoria
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio Manoel Barradas
Atletico Paranaense
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.32 - 1.6
Win probability
Home
26%
Draw
25%
Away
50%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
2.92
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Vitoria wins
0
Draws
1
Atletico Paranaense wins
07 Aug 2026
Vitoria
4 - 0
Atletico Paranaense
04 Aug 2026
Atletico Paranaense
2 - 0
Vitoria
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
53%
60%
Attack
73%
46%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
26%
Win probability
50%
Home and away record
Vitoria
last 8 at home
4W
0D
4L
1.50
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Atletico Paranaense
last 8 away from home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
1.88
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Vitoria | Atletico Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Vitoria
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Atletico Paranaense
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense |
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | +8 | 54 |
| 15 |
Vitoria |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -16 | 38 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Vitoria face Atletico Paranaense in Serie A. Vitoria have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1 points per game). Atletico Paranaense have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 9 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Vitoria won 1, Atletico Paranaense won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Atletico Paranaense's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 50% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Atletico Paranaense to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 26% win probability for Vitoria, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 50% probability for Atletico Paranaense. Our top recommended betting pick is Atletico Paranaense Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.92 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 19:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Manoel Barradas as part of the Serie A.
