Serie B · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
São Bernardo
Home
3-2
Full time
Estadio Primeiro de Maio
Vila Nova
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.14 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
60%
Draw
22%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
67%
1.40
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the São Bernardo v Vila Nova pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
São Bernardo wins
0
Draws
1
Vila Nova wins
07 Jul 2026
Vila Nova
2 - 1
São Bernardo
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
73%
46%
Attack
40%
60%
Defence
86%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
60%
Win probability
18%
Home and away record
São Bernardo
last 8 at home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Vila Nova
last 8 away from home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| São Bernardo | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
São Bernardo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
60%
Behind
30%
Vila Nova
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Vila Nova |
37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 66 |
| 11 |
São Bernardo |
37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | +10 | 52 |
Match Preview & Analysis
São Bernardo face Vila Nova in Serie B. São Bernardo have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game). Vila Nova have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, São Bernardo won 0, Vila Nova won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 60% probability backing São Bernardo, home advantage and superior chance creation make São Bernardo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 60% win probability for São Bernardo, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Vila Nova. Our top recommended betting pick is São Bernardo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 19:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Primeiro de Maio as part of the Serie B.
