Primera B Metropolitana · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Excursionistas
Home
4-0
Full time
Excursionistas Stadium
Sportivo Italiano
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.29
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.61 - 1.23
Win probability
Home
38%
Draw
29%
Away
33%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
41%
2.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.84
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Excursionistas wins
0
Draws
0
Sportivo Italiano wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
53%
66%
Attack
26%
80%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
38%
Win probability
33%
Home and away record
Excursionistas
last 8 at home
6W
1D
1L
2.38
points a game
2.38
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Sportivo Italiano
last 8 away from home
5W
1D
2L
2.00
points a game
1.38
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Excursionistas | Sportivo Italiano | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Excursionistas
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Sportivo Italiano
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
70%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Excursionistas |
41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | +37 | 81 |
| 4 |
Sportivo Italiano |
41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | +14 | 69 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Excursionistas face Sportivo Italiano in Primera B Metropolitana. Excursionistas have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Sportivo Italiano have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 2 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (38% vs 33%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 38% win probability for Excursionistas, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 33% probability for Sportivo Italiano. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.84 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Excursionistas Stadium as part of the Primera B Metropolitana.
