Liga Nacional · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Xelajú
Home
1-0
Full time
Estadio Mario Camposeco
Municipal
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.33 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
68%
Draw
20%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
65%
1.45
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
65%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Xelajú wins
0
Draws
1
Municipal wins
23 Aug 2026
Municipal
2 - 0
Xelajú
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
26%
60%
Attack
26%
60%
Defence
66%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
68%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Xelajú
last 8 at home
6W
2D
0L
2.50
points a game
2.25
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Municipal
last 8 away from home
3W
3D
2L
1.50
points a game
0.88
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Xelajú | Municipal | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Xelajú
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Municipal
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Xelajú face Municipal in Liga Nacional. Xelajú have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Municipal have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (0.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Xelajú won 0, Municipal won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 68% probability backing Xelajú, home advantage and superior chance creation make Xelajú to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 68% win probability for Xelajú, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Municipal. Our top recommended betting pick is Xelajú Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Mario Camposeco as part of the Liga Nacional.
