Liga Nacional · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Atlético Choloma
Home
3-1
Full time
Estadio Ruben Deras
Génesis
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.44 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
31%
Draw
39%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
29%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.6
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atlético Choloma wins
0
Draws
1
Génesis wins
02 Aug 2026
Génesis
2 - 0
Atlético Choloma
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
26%
33%
Attack
26%
73%
Defence
73%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
31%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Atlético Choloma
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.25
conceded a game
Génesis
last 4 away from home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Atlético Choloma | Génesis | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Atlético Choloma
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Génesis
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Atlético Choloma |
12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 |
Génesis |
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Atlético Choloma face Génesis in Liga Nacional. Atlético Choloma have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game). Génesis have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (0.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Atlético Choloma won 0, Génesis won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 29% and Both Teams to Score at 35%.
With evenly matched metrics (31% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 31% win probability for Atlético Choloma, a 39% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Génesis. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.6 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 35%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 21:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Ruben Deras as part of the Liga Nacional.
