Serie A · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Vasco DA Gama
Home
3-2
Full time
São Januário
Corinthians
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
24%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
68%
1.38
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Vasco DA Gama wins
0
Draws
0
Corinthians wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
6%
26%
Attack
26%
66%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
29%
Home and away record
Vasco DA Gama
last 8 at home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.88
conceded a game
Corinthians
last 8 away from home
1W
2D
5L
0.63
points a game
0.88
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Vasco DA Gama | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Vasco DA Gama
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Corinthians
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
30%
Behind
70%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Vasco DA Gama |
33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 41 |
| 17 |
Corinthians |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -6 | 37 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Vasco DA Gama face Corinthians in Serie A. Vasco DA Gama have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game). Corinthians have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 11 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 47% probability backing Vasco DA Gama, home advantage and superior chance creation make Vasco DA Gama to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Vasco DA Gama, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for Corinthians. Our top recommended betting pick is Vasco DA Gama Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 21:30 (East Africa Time) at São Januário as part of the Serie A.
