Serie B · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Ponte Preta
Home
2-2
Full time
Moisés Lucarelli
Fortaleza EC
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.01 - 2
Win probability
Home
13%
Draw
19%
Away
68%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
60%
1.57
Double Chance
No tip for this market.
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ponte Preta wins
0
Draws
1
Fortaleza EC wins
03 Jul 2026
Fortaleza EC
2 - 0
Ponte Preta
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
73%
13%
Attack
53%
20%
Defence
73%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
13%
Win probability
68%
Home and away record
Ponte Preta
last 8 at home
1W
3D
4L
0.75
points a game
0.63
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Fortaleza EC
last 8 away from home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
1.13
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Ponte Preta | Fortaleza EC | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 70% 7/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Ponte Preta
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
10%
Behind
70%
Fortaleza EC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
70%
Level
30%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Fortaleza EC |
37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | +11 | 62 |
| 20 |
Ponte Preta |
37 | 3 | 6 | 28 | -58 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ponte Preta face Fortaleza EC in Serie B. Ponte Preta have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 12 (0.2 points per game). Fortaleza EC have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Ponte Preta won 0, Fortaleza EC won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Fortaleza EC's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 68% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Fortaleza EC to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 13% win probability for Ponte Preta, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 68% probability for Fortaleza EC. Our top recommended betting pick is Fortaleza EC Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 21:30 (East Africa Time) at Moisés Lucarelli as part of the Serie B.
