Carioca - 2 · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Macaé
Home
0-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Duque de Caxias
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 0.9
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
26%
Away
18%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Macaé wins
0
Draws
0
Duque de Caxias wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
80%
46%
Attack
53%
46%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
18%
Home and away record
Macaé
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Duque de Caxias
last 5 away from home
3W
0D
2L
1.80
points a game
1.80
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Macaé | Duque de Caxias | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% 5/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/8 50% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
Macaé
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
29%
Behind
14%
Duque de Caxias
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Macaé face Duque de Caxias in Carioca - 2. Macaé have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game). Duque de Caxias have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 3 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 56% probability backing Macaé, home advantage and superior chance creation make Macaé to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Macaé, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 18% probability for Duque de Caxias. Our top recommended betting pick is Macaé Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 21:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Carioca - 2.
