Serie A · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Chapecoense-sc
Home
2-1
Full time
Arena Condá
Fluminense
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
27%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
63%
1.49
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
63%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chapecoense-sc wins
0
Draws
0
Fluminense wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
40%
20%
Attack
46%
20%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Chapecoense-sc
last 6 at home
1W
2D
3L
0.83
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.17
conceded a game
Fluminense
last 8 away from home
2W
3D
3L
1.13
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Chapecoense-sc | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Chapecoense-sc
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
Fluminense
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Fluminense |
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 57 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc |
33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -35 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chapecoense-sc face Fluminense in Serie A. Chapecoense-sc have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 12 (0.2 points per game). Fluminense have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 47% probability backing Chapecoense-sc, home advantage and superior chance creation make Chapecoense-sc to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Chapecoense-sc, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Fluminense. Our top recommended betting pick is Chapecoense-sc Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at Arena Condá as part of the Serie A.
