Liga de Expansión MX · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026
Venados FC
Home
3-2
Full time
Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero
Durango
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.09 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
58%
Draw
24%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
64%
1.47
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
64%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Venados FC wins
0
Draws
0
Durango wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
73%
66%
Attack
66%
66%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
58%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Venados FC
last 5 at home
4W
1D
0L
2.60
points a game
3.20
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Durango
last 8 away from home
2W
3D
3L
1.13
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Venados FC | Durango | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 90% 9/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Venados FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
Durango
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Venados FC face Durango in Liga de Expansión MX. Venados FC have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game). Durango have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 2 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 58% probability backing Venados FC, home advantage and superior chance creation make Venados FC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 58% win probability for Venados FC, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Durango. Our top recommended betting pick is Venados FC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
