Liga Nacional · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Atletico Independiente
Home
2-2
Full time
Estadio Carlos Miranda
CD Marathon
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.28 - 1.69
Win probability
Home
24%
Draw
23%
Away
54%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Draw/Away
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atletico Independiente wins
0
Draws
1
CD Marathon wins
04 Aug 2026
CD Marathon
1 - 0
Atletico Independiente
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
46%
20%
Attack
46%
33%
Defence
46%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
24%
Win probability
54%
Home and away record
Atletico Independiente
last 5 at home
2W
2D
1L
1.60
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
CD Marathon
last 8 away from home
3W
3D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Atletico Independiente | CD Marathon | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Atletico Independiente
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
CD Marathon
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
CD Marathon |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 22 |
| 10 |
Atletico Independiente |
12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Atletico Independiente face CD Marathon in Liga Nacional. Atletico Independiente have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 10 (1 points per game). CD Marathon have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Atletico Independiente won 0, CD Marathon won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
CD Marathon's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 54% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for CD Marathon to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 24% win probability for Atletico Independiente, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 54% probability for CD Marathon. Our top recommended betting pick is CD Marathon Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Miranda as part of the Liga Nacional.
