USL Championship · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Monterey Bay
Home
2-1
Full time
Cardinale Stadium
Las Vegas Lights
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.49 - 1.47
Win probability
Home
33%
Draw
24%
Away
44%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Draw/Away
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
69%
1.36
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
69%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Monterey Bay v Las Vegas Lights pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Monterey Bay wins
0
Draws
1
Las Vegas Lights wins
12 Jul 2026
Monterey Bay
2 - 3
Las Vegas Lights
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
26%
26%
Attack
60%
53%
Defence
20%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
33%
Win probability
44%
Home and away record
Monterey Bay
last 7 at home
1W
2D
4L
0.71
points a game
1.14
scored a game
1.86
conceded a game
Las Vegas Lights
last 8 away from home
5W
0D
3L
1.88
points a game
1.63
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Monterey Bay | Las Vegas Lights | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Monterey Bay
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
Las Vegas Lights
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Las Vegas Lights |
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 |
Monterey Bay |
29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -21 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Monterey Bay face Las Vegas Lights in USL Championship. Monterey Bay have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game). Las Vegas Lights have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 12 (0.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Monterey Bay won 0, Las Vegas Lights won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Las Vegas Lights's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 44% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Las Vegas Lights to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 33% win probability for Monterey Bay, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 44% probability for Las Vegas Lights. Our top recommended betting pick is Las Vegas Lights Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 02:00 (East Africa Time) at Cardinale Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
