Liga de Expansión MX · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026
Mineros de Zacatecas
Home
0-2
Full time
Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba
Leones Negros UDG
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.23
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
20%
Away
33%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
75%
1.25
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mineros de Zacatecas wins
0
Draws
0
Leones Negros UDG wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
33%
40%
Attack
66%
40%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
33%
Home and away record
Mineros de Zacatecas
last 7 at home
3W
2D
2L
1.57
points a game
2.29
scored a game
1.57
conceded a game
Leones Negros UDG
last 6 away from home
4W
1D
1L
2.17
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Mineros de Zacatecas | Leones Negros UDG | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Mineros de Zacatecas
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Leones Negros UDG
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Leones Negros UDG |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 4 |
Mineros de Zacatecas |
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Mineros de Zacatecas face Leones Negros UDG in Liga de Expansión MX. Mineros de Zacatecas have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (0.8 points per game). Leones Negros UDG have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 10 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
With a 47% probability backing Mineros de Zacatecas, home advantage and superior chance creation make Mineros de Zacatecas to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Mineros de Zacatecas, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 33% probability for Leones Negros UDG. Our top recommended betting pick is Mineros de Zacatecas Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 at 00:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
